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BIS Quarterly Review, March 2015

  • A wave of further easing – Largely unexpected, a wave of monetary policy easing over the past few months has taken centre stage in global financial markets. Amid plunging oil prices and rising foreign exchange tensions, a large number of central banks from both advanced and emerging market economies have provided further stimulus. The ECB announced an expanded asset purchase programme, which was larger and …
  • Highlights of global financing flows – Global international banking activity continued to expand during the third quarter of 2014, after turning upwards in the first. International bank lending in the advanced economies revived as the growth outlook in some of these economies picked up and banking systems continued to recover. Bank lending to emerging market economies remained strong, particularly in Asia.
  • Special features – The costs of deflations: a historical perspective by Claudio Borio, Magdalena Erdem, Andrew Filardo and Boris Hofmann
  • Concerns about deflation – falling prices of goods and services – are rooted in the view that it is very costly. We test the historical link between output growth and deflation in a sample covering 140 years for up to 38 economies. The evidence suggests that this link is weak and…
  • Oil and debt by Dietrich Domanski, Jonathan Kearns, Marco Jacopo Lombardi and Hyun Song Shin – The total debt of the oil and gas sector globally stands at roughly $2.5 trillion, two and a half times what it was at the end of 2006. The recent fall in the oil price represents a significant decline in the value of assets backing this debt, introducing a new …
  • (Why) Is investment weak? by Ryan Banerjee, Jonathan Kearns and Marco Jacopo Lombardi – In spite of very easy financing conditions globally, investment has been rather weak in the aftermath of the Great Recession. What explains this apparent disconnect? The evidence suggests that, historically, uncertainty about the…
  • Financial inclusion – issues for central banks by Aaron Mehrotra and James Yetman. Financial inclusion – access to financial services – is increasing worldwide, often with official support. This special feature discusses the implications for central banks. Greater financial inclusion changes the behaviour of firms and consumers in ways that could …
  • Shifting tides – market liquidity and market-making in fixed income instruments by Ingo Fender and Ulf Lewrick – Drawing from a recent report by the Committee on the Global Financial System, we identify signs of increased fragility and divergence of liquidity conditions across different fixed income markets. Market-making is concentrating in the most liquid securities and …
  • Global liquidity indicators: background and interpretation
  • Equity issuance and share buybacks by Adrian Van Rixtel and Alan Villegas
  • The Great Depression
  • Japan’s growth and deflation: two lost decades?
  • The economics of market-making
  • Inventory levels and asset price sensitivity: catching the falling knife?

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