“This report by CBO presents an analysis of the proposals contained in the Presidents budget request for fiscal year 2014. The analysis is based on CBOs economic projections and estimating assumptions and models, rather than the Administrations, and incorporates estimates by the staff of the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) for the Presidents tax proposals. In conjunction with analyzing the Presidents budget, CBO has updated its baseline budget projections, which were previously issued in February 2013. Unlike its estimates of the Presidents budget, CBOs baseline projections largely reflect the assumption that current tax and spending laws will remain unchanged, so as to provide a benchmark against which potential legislation can be measured. Under that assumption, CBO estimates that the deficit would total $642 billion in 2013 and that the cumulative deficit over the 20142023 period would amount to $6.3 trillion. The Presidents budget request specifies spending and revenue policies for the 20142023 period and includes initiatives that would have budgetary effects in fiscal year 2013 as well. According to CBOs and JCTs estimates, enactment of the Presidents proposals would, relative to CBOs baseline, boost deficits between 2013 and 2015 but reduce them by increasing amounts from 2016 through 2023.”
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