The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Global Climate Change, Kurt M. Campbell, Jay Gulledge, J.R. McNeill, John Podesta, Peter Ogden, leon Fuerth, R. James Woolsey, Alexander T.J. lennon, Julianne Smith, Richard Weitz, and Derek Mix, November 2007
“Global climate change poses not only environmental hazards but profound risks to planetary peace and stability as well. For the past year, CNAS [Center for a New American Security] and CSIS [Center for Strategic and International Studies] convened a diverse group of experts on climate science, oceanography, history, political science, foreign policy, and national security to take the measure of these risks. The contributors developed three scenarios of what the future may hold and then analyze the security implications of these scenarios, which at a minimum include increased disease proliferation; tensions caused by large-scale migration; and conflict sparked by resource scarcity, particularly in Africa. They consider what we can learn from the experience of early civilizations confronted with natural disaster, and they ask what the three largest emitters of greenhouse gases the United States, the European Union, and China can do to reduce and manage future risks.”
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