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Forecasting inflation and the Great Recession

Forecasting Inflation and the Great Recession, Marco Bassetto, Todd Messer, and Christine Ostrowski. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. October 2013.

“Economic Perspectives article shows how the recovery of inflation in 2009-10 occurred precisely at the only time (since 1985) the models would predict disinflation, i.e., inflation went up when the models said it should go down.”


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