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IMF Global Financial Stability Report April 2016

Emerging Economies Affect Global Financial Changes IMF Survey, April 4, 2016.

  • Changes in global asset prices increasingly reflect financial developments in emerging economies
  • Financial integration main force for changes
  • Policymakers must take into account emerging economies’ economic, policy developments

Changes in emerging market asset prices explain over a third of the rise and fall in global equity prices and exchange rates, according to new research from the International Monetary Fund. The IMF analysis, part of the Global Financial Stability Report, finds that rising financial integration, more than emerging economies’ growing share of global GDP and trade, is the key factor behind their increasing financial impact on other countries. For example, while economic news from China does affect global equity returns, spillovers from Chinese asset price shocks remain limited relative to those of financially more integrated emerging market economies including Brazil, Mexico, and South Africa. Globally, the stocks of companies with more debt are also more likely to be hit by external shocks…”

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