The Pragmatic Engineer: “No longer a hypothetical question, this is a mega-trend set to hit the tech industry, Gergely Orosz, Jan 06, 2026. “This winter break was an opportunity for devs to step back from day-to-day work and play around with side projects – including using AI agents to juice up those half-baked or incomplete ideas. At least, that’s what I did with a few features I’d meant to build for months, but didn’t get around to during 2025: related to Unexpectedly, LLMs like Opus 4.5 and GPT 5.2 did amazing jobs on the mid-sized tasks I assigned them: I ended up pushing a few hundred lines of code to production simply by prompting the LLM, reviewing the output, making sure the tests passed (and new tests I prompted also passed!), then prompting it a bit more for some final tweaking. To add to the magical feeling, I then managed to build production software on my phone: I set up Claude Code for Web by connecting it to my GitHub, which let me instruct the Claude mobile app to make changes to my code and to add/run tests. Claude duly created PRs that triggered GitHub actions (which ran the tests Claude couldn’t) and I found myself reviewing and merging PRs with new functionality purely from my mobile device while travelling. Admittedly, it was low-risk work and all the business logic was covered by automated tests, but I hadn’t previously felt the thrill of “creating” code and pushing it to prod from my phone. This experience, also shared by many others, suggests to me that a step change is underway in software engineering tooling. In this article – the first of 2026 for this publication – we explore where we are, and what a monumental change like AI writing the lion’s share of code could mean for us developers. Today, we cover:
- Latest models create “a-ha” moments. It’s not just devs working at AI vendors who noticed much more capable models, but also independent software engineers.
- Why now? Model releases in November and December seem to have been the tipping point: Opus 4.5, GPT-5.2 and Gemini 3.
- The bad: declining value of expertise. Prototyping, being a language polyglot or a specialist in a stack are likely to be a lot less valuable, looking ahead.
- The good: software engineers more valuable than before. Tech lead traits in more demand, being more “product-minded” to be a baseline at startups, and being a solid software engineer and not just a “coder” will be more sought-after than before.
- The ugly: uncomfortable outcomes. More code generated will lead to more problems, weak software engineering practices start to hurt sooner, and perhaps a tougher work-life balance for devs.
- Product management vs software engineering: merge or separation? Product managers can now generate software easier – needing fewer engineers to realize their goals – but software engineers also need less product management. Both professions are set to overlap with another more than before…”